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Comments on: The irrationality of denial conquered by my great-aunt’s denial of irrationality http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/ Trying to make a point Fri, 25 Jan 2008 12:21:35 +0000 hourly 1 By: Donald/TheJarndyceBlog http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57961 Tue, 21 Nov 2006 21:54:17 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57961 So this is how you’ll be filling your time now the swimming career’s over, eh?

]]> By: Ian Thorpe http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57960 Tue, 21 Nov 2006 18:23:08 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57960 Well that went over my head coz I thought the Permiership could only be won by Brown or Reid.
Ah well, when the seagulls follow the trawler and all that.

]]> By: Monjo http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57957 Tue, 21 Nov 2006 15:05:59 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57957 There was a serious point to this post that has been missed due to the cloudiness of rationality: The Premiership can still be won – mathematically – by any of its 20 teams, its just that each teams actual probability is slightly different.

Based solely on results over the past 24 months and looking at it objectively it would seem that Chelsea have the best probability of winning, with Arsenal and Manchester United also still with a good probability – but that’s assuming Man Utd do not beat Chelsea this w/e which would harm Arsenal’s chances a lot and greatly bolster Man Utd’s. The probability of any other team winning is fairly small. Reading’s probability is not the smallest, but would still be small enough to reasonably dismiss – unless say a Bomb were to blow up Man Utd and Chelsea this weekend, and the Arsenal players were to all fall off a cliff laughing.

The Fink Tank in The Times is the only source of statistical analysis of football I know about. Its quite interesting. Anyhow as it stands they put ManUtd at 89 points, Chelsea around 80, Arsenal mid-70s and Liverpool at 64 (finishing 4th).

]]> By: Tim Worstall http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57955 Sun, 19 Nov 2006 14:32:59 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57955 Britblog Roundup #92…

We seem to be getting closer to that century mark with our little roundups of your nominations of what you think the rest of us should see.You can add to next week’s set by simply emailing the URL to britblog…

]]> By: Paul http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57945 Fri, 17 Nov 2006 01:30:20 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57945 Haven’t we been here before?

http://www.mtholyoke.edu/~ebarnes/python/international-philosophy.htm

]]> By: Joe Otten http://sharpener.johnband.org/2006/11/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57937 Thu, 16 Nov 2006 22:11:50 +0000 http://www.thesharpener.net/2006/11/16/the-irrationality-of-denial-conquered-by-my-great-aunts-denial-of-irrationality/#comment-57937 Straight from logical positivism to Kuhn. Sigh. We write Popper out of history at our peril.

For all the lovely theory of paradigm shifts, Kuhn doesn’t say much about when they ought to happen, how they are justified, whether there is more truth in the theory before or after. Because he isn’t really interested – he is a sociologist of science not a philosopher of science.

Popper at least tries to answer that question.

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